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US Troops Withdrawal from Iraq: Will Islamic State Rise Again After Two Decades?

Following two decades of military intervention, US troops are finally withdrawing from Iraq. This strategic shift raises urgent questions about whether ISIS will re-emerge from the ashes of the Middle East.

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National Desk, The Freelance
Politics, Governance & Public Interest Reporting Team••35
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US Troops Withdrawal from Iraq: Will Islamic State Rise Again After Two Decades?

Amid the cold winds of Baghdad, the movement of armored vehicles from US military bases is finally coming to a halt. Two decades after the US entered Iraq under 'Operation Iraqi Freedom', the time for the complete withdrawal of its troops has arrived. On-the-ground reports from 'The Freelance' defense desk indicate that this is not merely a military retreat, but the creation of a massive vacuum in Middle Eastern geopolitics. The pressing question is: Will this vacuum plunge the region back into the fires of extremism?

Two Decades of Military Cycle and Changing Middle East

Beginning with the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, the American presence subjected Iraq to a relentless cycle of conflict. From the shadow of Al-Qaeda to the vicious rise of the 'Islamic State' (ISIS), violence plagued Iraqi soil endlessly. Today, as the Pentagon recalls its troops, the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) face the monumental challenge of unilaterally managing national security and territorial sovereignty. Local military commanders believe that while the Iraqi army has fought a long battle against terrorism, foreign assistance in intelligence sharing and modern weaponry remains vital.

Is the Islamic State Rising Again?

Intelligence reports suggest that ISIS has abandoned traditional warfare in favor of guerrilla tactics and strengthening sleeper cells. Active in remote deserts and near the Syrian border, these jihadist groups are eyeing Iraq's political instability. Recent attacks on security forces in remote areas confirm that ISIS has not been completely eradicated; rather, it was waiting for the US military to depart to reclaim lost ground.

Global Upheaval and Other Geopolitical Flashpoints

Looking at the global landscape, tensions are boiling over in various parts of the world. Whether it is the decades-old Israel-Palestine conflict spreading fire from Gaza to West Asia, or human rights debates surrounding controversial capital punishment cases in the US judicial system (such as an inmate surviving lethal injections recently)—failures of order and justice are evident everywhere. Domestically in India, while political rhetoric over the horrific Kolkata rape-mural case (including Rahul Gandhi's reactions) and sharp political jibes like Uddhav Thackeray's '40-headed Ravana' remark heat up internal politics, Iraq's future remains a major global uncertainty.

Future Crisis or Diplomatic Tug-of-War

The US withdrawal from Iraq is being viewed as the Biden administration's fulfillment of ending 'endless foreign wars'. However, history proves that vacuums have always favored extremist forces. If the Iraqi government fails to unite various political and sectarian factions (Shia, Sunni, and Kurdish) under an inclusive rule, the Islamic State will have a golden opportunity to resurface.

"The removal of American boots does not mean the threat of terrorism has vanished. The real test begins now when the Iraqi leadership must ensure its own security." - A senior Western diplomat (speaking on condition of anonymity)

Conclusion and the Way Forward

The Freelance's investigation makes it clear that Iraq stands at a highly sensitive crossroads following the US troop withdrawal. Without diplomatic engagement and robust economic-military support, the region risks plunging back into major devastation. The world is now watching how Baghdad handles this internal and external threat in the days to come.

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National Desk, The Freelance

Verified Editorial Desk

Politics, Governance & Public Interest Reporting Team

The Freelance National Desk provides round-the-clock, verified, and in-depth analytical reporting on Indian politics, governance, policy decisions, parliamentary affairs, and public interest matters.